Week 3, Eagles-Cowboys, Monday Night Football, NFC East lead on the line. Does it get any better than this? The answer is no, it does not.
With kickoff just hours away, let’s take a look at some favorable prop bets for Monday’s contest. Each of the bets listed here are provided by BetMGM.
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Tony Pollard UNDER 31.5 rushing yards (-115)
Betting the over here is enticing, given Pollard’s 100-yard outing last week. But the reality is that Pollard is still a complementary back to Ezekiel Elliot. Through two games, Pollard has only seen 28% of the offensive snaps in Dallas. Last week it rose to 34%, but he touched the ball on nearly every snap he played. 16 touches on 21 snaps isn’t sustainable, and Jonathan Gannon should have the coaching savvy to key in on Pollard every time he’s on the field given his workload. The Eagles also have a very stout rush defense, allowing a yards per carry average of just 3.8 through two weeks.
Dallas Goedert OVER 37.5 receiving yards (-115)
Given his expectations heading into 2021, Dallas Goedert has had a relatively quiet start to his season, tallying just six receptions for 66 yards and one touchdown. But Goedert has typically done well against the Cowboys, totaling 21 receptions for 257 yards and three touchdowns in six meetings. That’s an average of 42.8 yards per game against Dallas. We all expected Goedert to be a focal point of this Eagles passing attack heading into the year. This should be his 2021 coming out party.
Amari Cooper OVER 71.5 receiving yards (-115)
Cooper is coming off a down performance in Week 2, recording just three receptions for 24 yards. But in totality he’s off to a great start this year. Through two weeks, Cooper has recorded 16 catches for 163 yards and two touchdowns. Cooper typically feasts on the Eagles secondary. In seven games against Philly, Cooper has totaled 33 receptions for 614 yards and four touchdowns. For those counting at home, that’s an average of 87.7 yards per game. I know the Eagles pass defense has been stout through two weeks, but Cooper always seems to get his when he faces the Eagles. The Eagles defense should be able to contain Dallas’ passing attack a bit, but Cooper could still be in for a big day.
Jalen Hurts OVER 252.5 passing yards (-110)
Probably the riskiest bet in this article, I understand the hesitancy to bet the over on Hurts’ passing yards. He faced a beat up secondary last week and only mustered 190 yards through the air, which included a 91-yard chunk play to Quez Watkins. But we’re talking about a Dallas secondary that has been absolutely torched through two weeks. Heading into this weekend, Dallas had allowed the second-most passing yards in the NFL (692 yards, 346 per game). Granted, those two games were against Tom Brady and Justin Herbert, but the Eagles have the weapons to exploit Dallas’ weak secondary. It’ll be up to Hurts to hit the open guys when they’re there, and believe me, they’ll be there against this defense.
Eric Wilson UNDER 7.5 tackles (-150)
Eric Wilson hasn’t exactly lived up to expectations this year. His playing time decreased last week against San Francisco, going from 61 snaps Week 1 to 48 snaps the following week. He’s struggled in his run defense, posting a PFF run defense grade of 41.4 and missing four tackles on the year. His tackling woes will keep him off the field on early downs, which in turn will effect the number of total tackles he’s able to record. He’s gone over 7.5 each of the past two weeks, but it’s not likely that he reaches that total again, at least not this week.
BONUS: Dak Prescott to throw 2+ interceptions (+400)
The Eagles haven’t recorded a single turnover this year, but Dak Prescott has thrown at least one interception in each of his first two games this year. Plus, his track record against the Eagles isn’t as great as you may think. In eight meetings, Prescott has thrown seven interceptions, almost one per contest. The Eagles are over due for some turnovers and they tend to happen in waves. Call me crazy, but I think that wave hits tonight in Dallas. If you’re feeling lucky, throw some cash on this one. And if you’re feeling extra bold, go with the 3+ interception bet for Dak, which sits at +875.
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