The gang at Full Scale is back with another week of Eagles prop bets! Without further ado, here’s five plays we like:
OVER 42.5 total points
I predict the Eagles score 30+ in this matchup (piling on late against a defense that‘s sure to roll over at some point) and I don’t trust this Birds defense to fully lock down anyone, even the worst of offenses. Look, Dallas could very well never even sniff the end zone tonight, which would make this a pretty unpalatable pick if the Eagles commit to running the ball and burning clock—I just wouldn’t bank on Doug doing that, even if he’s up big.
Wentz longest pass OVER 35.5 yards
I like this play a lot. Wentz has made a point to push the ball downfield all season long, and while he hasn’t necessarily been efficient on such throws, volume is the key here and he’s been able to connect on at least one pass over 35 yards in 5 of 7 weeks (6 total). Throw in a healthy Reagor, healthy Goedert, and a poor Dallas secondary and this feels like a strong play.
Ezekiel Elliott UNDER 64.5 rush yards
This is the lone Under in these picks, and admittedly the pick I’m probably least confident in. Nonetheless Dallas is a big underdog, their offensive line is a mess, and they’re starting a third-string QB—all reasons to fade Zeke in a matchup vs a stout defensive line (worth nothing: this total has dropped six yards since opening at 70.5).
The most likely scenario is game script moving away from Elliott as the Eagles grow a lead, but even in the event that the game remains close there’s little reason to believe Elliot can be effective; Schwartz can afford to stack the box more so than usual, and the gap between our D-line and Dallas’ O-line is sizable. Obviously a chunk run can end this bet pretty quickly, but between a blowout limiting touches and the prospect for inefficiency even with volume, the numbers clearly indicate the Under as the play here.
Boston Scott OVER 22.5 rec yards
Scott should be the recipient of a designed screen or two, and is obviously the man on third downs. If the Eagles really get up big early then this pick could come off the table pretty fast—which is why it’s smaller than you’d expect—but it’s still such a favorable number for someone of Scott’s receiving ability. If you feel antsy about this maybe take a look at Over 81.5 total yards (rush + rec), but I think this is the better option.
Dalton Schultz OVER 25.5 rec yards
Backup QBs tend to lean on TE as a security blanket, the Eagles aren’t afraid to get torched by opposing TEs, and you gotta imagine Dinucci and the Cowboys pile up yardage in garbage time as result of a blowout—25.5 feels very low given all of that.